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Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

US guides ships from Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions, impacting Trump China visit

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Trump’s Visit to China markets show a 0.2% YES probability for May 3, with no observed change over the past 24 hours. The combined 24h volume for these sub-markets is $7,187, wit...

OPEC+ raises June output amid Strait of Hormuz closure, oil prices stay high

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market indicates a 100% YES pricing for crude oil hitting $90 by the end of June. WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 markets suggest support for �...

NATO starts “Amber Shock 26” drills in Poland amid Russia tensions

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?” is priced at 2.3% YES, down from 3% 24 hours ago. The “NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?...

Tanker attack near Fujairah heightens Strait of Hormuz tensions

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization is currently priced at a 58% likelihood of normalization by the end of June. Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market shows a 37.5% prob...

Treasury warns AI could escalate cyber threats to US financial systems

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot “Total Crypto Hack Value in 2026” market is currently unpriced, with no recent activity. The news is likely to influence perceptions of cyber risk, but no immediate pricing mov...

Trump announces naval mission in Hormuz; Iran warns of ceasefire violation

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market is seeing increased interest, with current pricing suggesting heightened likelihood of a YES outcome. The “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcem...

Israel’s AI unit boosts air force in Iran conflict, raises regional tensions

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market on whether Iran will close its airspace by May 8 is currently priced at 17% YES, down from 18% 24 hours ago. For May 31, the probability stands at 37.5% YES, down from �...

Nvidia’s AI market share in China drops amid US export controls

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market assessing whether Nvidia will be the largest company by market cap on June 30 is currently priced at 70% YES. This represents a decrease from previous levels, suggestin�...

Powell plans to stay as Fed governor post-chair term, reducing early exit odds

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for “Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026” is currently priced at 1.4% YES, reflecting a decrease from previous levels. The pricing for Powell’s departur...

Israel intensifies military operations in Lebanon, delaying withdrawal plans

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026 market is priced at 4% YES. Recent news suggests continued military operations, with no active ceasefire in place. The Ethereum pri�...