Iran’s foreign ministry stated that removing nuclear reserves was never a negotiation option. Odds for no US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 sit at 1.5% , up from 2% yesterday. The statement mo...
Iran has declared that transferring enriched uranium has never been an option, and the market for the U.S. obtaining Iranian enriched uranium by May 31 sits at 0% YES. This statement directly affect�...
Bitcoin is trading at $75K, up about 24% from its bear market low, but strong selling pressure and exchange inflows suggest the rally may not hold. The market for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April �...
Iran has not committed to attending the next round of US-led talks in Pakistan, following a US naval blockade and the seizure of an Iranian cargo ship. The market on whether no qualifying diplomatic �...
Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman rejected any deadlines on national interests and warned the U.S. and Israel of military retaliation. The probability of a ceasefire by April 30 has dropped to 34.5%...
Israeli forces have uncovered an Iranian Revolutionary Guards terror network aiming to sabotage a strategic oil pipeline. The odds for an attack on the Kharg Island oil terminal by April 30 are now a�...
Israel’s military warned Lebanese civilians against returning to villages in southern Lebanon, citing Hezbollah ceasefire violations. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30 market sits at 100%...
Pakistan’s Prime Minister is keeping peace talk plans alive in Islamabad despite Iran pulling out, and the odds for a ceasefire extension by April 21, 2026, have dropped to 64% YES, down from 86% ...
Iran’s Foreign Ministry is reviewing a US plan conveyed during the Pakistani Army Chief’s visit, and the market for no US-Iran meeting by June 30 sits at 1.5% YES, up from 2% yesterday. Market ...
Aave’s rsETH exploit caused a $7B drop in total value locked and a 15% decline in the AAVE token. Bitcoin’s likelihood of dipping to $60,000 in April sits at 3.1% YES, unchanged after the news b...