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Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

EU sanctions pressure keeps Iran uranium surrender odds near zero

Crypto April 28, 2026

EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen took a firm stance on Iran sanctions, signaling continued pressure. The market for Iran surrendering its enriched uranium stockpile by April 30 is at 1% �...

Iranian foreign minister’s Moscow visit complicates US-Iran diplomatic prospects

Crypto April 28, 2026

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi visited Moscow this week, and the market on no qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, jumped to 17% YES, up from 9% yesterday. The nuclear �...

BitMine boosts Ethereum holdings to 5.078M ETH, 4.2% of total supply

Crypto April 28, 2026

BitMine Immersion Technologies has increased its Ethereum holdings to 5.078 million ETH, roughly 4.2% of total supply. The Polymarket contract for Ethereum above $1,900 on April 25 trades at 99.9% �...

Iran integrates caspian sea into supply chain amid hormuz tensions

Crypto April 28, 2026

Iran’s official Mortazavi confirmed the Caspian Sea’s integration into supply chains for essential goods, citing ongoing concerns with the Strait of Hormuz. The probability of 80 ships transiting ...

Tom Lee, Bitmine amass over 5M Ethereum, hit “Alchemy of 5%” target

Crypto April 28, 2026

Tom Lee and Bitmine Immersion Technologies have accumulated more than 5 million Ethereum (ETH), reaching their “Alchemy of 5%” target. Ethereum above $1,900 on April 24 is at 99.9% YES. Market ...

Trump to hold national security meeting on Iran stalemate amid Bitcoin market watch

Crypto April 28, 2026

Trump is set to hold a national security meeting on the Iran stalemate, while the Polymarket contract for Bitcoin dipping to $76,000 by April 24 sits at 0.1% YES. The Bitcoin price market for Apri�...

Trump to hold national security meeting on Iran stalemate

Crypto April 28, 2026

Trump plans a national security meeting to discuss the Iran stalemate, as reported by CNN. The odds of Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief in April are at 3% , down from 14% yesterday. Ne�...

Iran blocks Strait of Hormuz, oil markets show limited reaction

Crypto April 28, 2026

The US-Iran conflict, marked by Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, has raised questions about the petrodollar’s future, but prediction markets show limited movement. The Crude Oil All Time H...

Goldman Sachs: Markets seek US-Iran resolution amid Bitcoin stability

Crypto April 28, 2026

Goldman Sachs says global markets want resolution on US-Iran tensions. The Polymarket contract for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April sits at 0.2% YES. Market reaction The contract has dropped f�...

Keir Starmer faces potential leadership challenge after May 7 elections

Crypto April 28, 2026

Britain’s Prime Minister Keir Starmer could face a leadership challenge after local elections on May 7. The odds of him being out by December 31, 2026, currently sit at 68.5% YES, up from 66% a da...