Military planners from over 30 countries are meeting in London to discuss reopening the Strait of Hormuz, according to the UK Ministry of Defense. The ceasefire by April 30 market sits at 18.5% YES�...
Strategy acquired 7,800 BTC worth $1.1 billion, and the market for Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April now sits at 42.5% YES, down from 44% yesterday. Market reaction The $80,000 market saw a 5-poi�...
Kevin Warsh’s Senate testimony has moved US 10-year Treasury yields, and the Polymarket odds of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut after the April meeting now sit at 0.2% YES, up from 0% yesterday. Wa...
US Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner were seen at the White House, signaling high-level coordination for imminent US-Iran ceasefire talks. “Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran ...
The likelihood of a Fed rate hike in 2027 is now 69%, as markets price in continued tightening driven by persistent inflation from geopolitical tensions. Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 202�...
Zelensky criticized US envoys for avoiding Kyiv while engaging with Moscow, calling it “disrespectful.” The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31 market is at 3% YES, down from 6% a week ago. The ...
Bitcoin hit $76,720, up 2%, after MicroStrategy’s $2.54B purchase and easing US-Iran tensions. The market for a Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April sits at 15% YES. Market reaction MicroStrategy’s...
The U.S. military boarded the M/T Tifani, a tanker linked to Iran’s shadow fleet, in the Indo-Pacific. Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by May 31 sits at 41% YES. Market reaction The...
Iran’s 2026 uprising was quashed in two nights with a massive crackdown. Iranian regime fall by April 30 is at 1% YES, unchanged from yesterday. The crackdown didn’t budge the April 30 market, ...
Solana has processed more tokenized stock trading volume than all other blockchains combined since July 2025, and the Polymarket contract for Solana reaching $110 by April 18 reflects bullish positio�...